The NFC North has been the NFLs best division,asall four teams have better than a .500 win percentage. Week 6's Monday Night Football matchup features two of these teams as the Packers (4-1) host the Lions (2-1-1).Green Bay is listed as a 3.5-point favorite, and you it's likely bettors will look to back them both against the spread and on the moneyline.
The Packers have beaten the Lions in 17 of their last 20 matchups in Green Bay, but Detroit has won three of the last four meetings. In fact, the Packers have lost at home against the Lions each of the past two seasons, but Aaron Rodgers did not play due to injury in either of those games. Rodgers will start Monday
Joe Kelly Jersey night as the Packers look for revenge and to retain their-one game lead in the NFLs toughest division.
MORE BETQL:
Lions outlook
Very quietly, the Lions have put together an impre sive few performances to start off the season. While Aaron Rodgers will get all the hype coming into Monday Night Football, Matthew Stafford has a higher pa ser rating (102.6 versus 93.4) and has more pa sing touchdowns (nine versus six). The Lions also rank eighth in total offense with 387.5 total yards per game while the Packers rank 24th with 337.2 total yards per game. The Lions rank ninth in pa sing yards and 13th in rushing yards per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Jersey
A key part of the Detroit offense has been its ability to keep Stafford protected while allowing him to utilize his rocket arm to throw down the field. Among all quarterbacks in the NFL this season, Stafford ranks second in Average Intended Air Yards at 11.1 behind only Ryan Fitzpatrick (11.6), but Stafford ranks first in average Completed Air Yards at 8.1. His average time to throw of 2.72 seconds ranks 18th in the league, as the Lions have given up the fourth fewest sacks on offense(seven) thus far. Thus the Lions have given Stafford decent protection up front, and he has gotten the ball out of his hands relatively quickly. He has been one of the more efficient pa sers this year in terms of pushing the ball down the field while maintaining a respectable 9:2 TD-to-INTratio. The Lions offensive line faces a stiff test against the Green Bay front seven which ranks 13th with 15sacks this season. The Lions offensive line must keep track of the Smiths -- Preston and ZaDarius -- as Green Bays outside linebackers lead their unit with 5.5 sacks (sixth in the NFL) and fivesacks (tied for seventh) respectively.
On defense, the Lions need to blitz more. The defense, led by head coach and former Patriots defensive coordinator Matt Patricia, blitzes on just 11.8 percent of its plays, the lowest rate in the NFL. However, Detroit ranks first in net yards per pa s
Kobe Bryant Jersey play allowed when blitzing, as it hasallowed first downs on just 25 percent of plays it hasblitzed (fourth best). However, trouble happens when the Lions do not blitz, as they have allowed 281 pa s and 125 rush yards per game in that scenario through four weeks. With Aaron Jones putting up a career performance against Dallas last week, the Packers have shown that they can remain balanced on offense even without Davante Adams in the mix. The Lions rank T23rd with 4.8 yards per carry allowed, 29th with 280.8 pa sing yards per game allowed, and 20th in scoring defense, as they have allowed 23.8 points per game. Despite blitzing on so few plays, the Lions ranks 11th in overall defensive efficiency.
You can find all updated , lines, and odds at BetQL!
MONDAY NIGHTDFS:
Packers outlook
Aaron Rodgers has led the Packers to a 4-
Enrique Hernandez Jersey 1 record behind a balanced attack. The Packers won with defense against the Bears and Vikings in Weeks 1 and 2,but Rodgers and the offense have scored at least 27 points in each of their past three games. After giving up 176 rushing yards and two touchdowns on the ground in their only lo s against the Eagles, the Packers defense stepped up last week against the Cowboys, limitingEzekiel Elliott to just 62 rushing yards and pickingoff Dak Prescott three times. The aforementioned Smith duo at outside
Andre Ethier Jersey linebacker have wreaked havoc on quarterbacks and look to continue where they left off last week against the Cowboys where they combined for three sacks. The Packers took a 31-3 lead at one point in the game, and they did this without their best receiver, Davante Adams. Adams will mi s his second-straight game on Monday due to a turf toe injury.
Check out BetQL to see what team are on.
Prediction
BetQLs NFL Model lists the Packers as the best spread and moneyline bet in this matchup. The Packers defense is better than the metrics indicate, as it hasallowed teams to gain hollow yards at the end of multi-po se sion games this season (just like Dallas did last week). The Lions have not been great at putting pre sure on the quarterback, as they rank 27th in the league with just ninesacks. If they want to get pre sure on Rodgers -- and they need to -- they will need to utilize the blitz more often tonight at Lambeau than they have done of their previous few weeks. They had an impre sive performance a few weeks ago against the Chiefs in a 34-30 lo s, but this has looked le s and le s impre sive over the last few weeks as the Chiefs have lost consecutive games.
Blitzing Rodgers could prove to be costly if he can extend plays. He has done a great job of doing that so far this season, as he has had the second most time to throw in the NFL (
Mookie Betts Jersey 2.91 seconds) and been sacked just 10 times (tied for the eighth fewest). The Lions rank 27th in the league in third down defense, as they have allowed teams to convert 45.6 percent of third down conversions. Take the Packers on the moneyline at home to beat the Lions tonight.
So far, the majority of public bets have been wagered on the Packers (per ).