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NFL playoffs divisional-round odds Patri

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    When you get to the postseason, teams are supposed to be more evenly matched. But that's definitely not the case for the Texans-Patriots game that we'll be getting in the divisional round of the . NFL Playoffs Oddsmakers are so terrified at the thought of going up against a team coached by Bill Belichick that New England opened as a 15.5 Julius Erving Jersey -point favorite Sunday. That kind of spread is borderline absurd for a regular-season game, let alone a playoff game. The opening spread makes the the biggest playoff favorite in nearly 20 years. According , the last playoff team to be favored by at least 15 points came in January 1999 when the closed as a 16.5-point favorite over the . With early betting pushing the Patriots to a 16-point favorite, it's not crazy to think that New England could hit that 16.5-point mark. During the era, which dates to 1966, there have only been five playoff games where a team was favored by 15 or more points. In those five games, the favorite has gone 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread. One of those covers came from those 1998-99 Vikings, who beat the Cardinals 41-21. The only time the underdog actually won came in Super Bowl III, when the 18-point underdog beat the Baltimore 19-7. If you're wondering why Joe Namath's guarantee was such a big deal, there's your answer. He promised a win in a game where his team was an 18-point underdog. Here's how the other three games broke down: In the 1994 season, the 49ers were twice favored by 15 points or more, and they covered in both games. First, they beat the 44-15 as a 15.5-point favorite in the divisional round. Then, in the Super Bowl, they beat the 49-26 as a 19-point favorite. During the Super Bowl-era, which dates back to 1966, there have only been five playoff games where a team was favored by 15 or more points. In those five games, the favorite has gone 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 against the spread. Besides the Namath game, the only other time a playoff team didn't cover a spread of 15 points or more came in 1978 when the beat the 27-20 as a 15-point favorite. As for the Patriots, we can probably go ahead and punch their ticket to the AFC title game. Under Belichick, they've been a favorite of 15 or more points a total of 13 times, including regular-season games, and they've gone 13-0 straight up in those games. Belichick's Patriots don't lose to inferior teams. However, when it comes to covering the spread, things are a bit more dicey with the Patriots going 7-6 ATS. The Texans-Patriots game is the only this week where the spread is over five points. Let's get to the odds and check out the lines from every divisional round game. Saturday, Jan. 14 Tyler Johnson Jersey (11-5-1) at Falcons (11-5) 4:35 p.m. ET (Fox) Opening line: Falcons, -4 pointsCurrent line: Falcons, -4.5 points If defense wins championships, then the Seahawks might have a chance to win this game. To beat Atlanta, the Seahawks are going to have to slow down a Falcons team that had Brooklyn Nets T-Shirts the highest-scoring offense in the (33.8 points per game). That shouldn't be impo sible for the Seahawks defense, which ranked third in the NFL in points against, giving up just 18.3 points per game in 2016. These two teams met in Week 6 with the Falcons covering the spread as a seven-point underdog in a controversial 26-24 lo s. In that lo s, appeared to be interfered with on a fourth-down play late in the fourth quarter. However, the alleged penalty went uncalled. Overall, the Falcons went 10-6 ATS in 2016, which was tied for the third-best mark in the NFL. That being said, the Seahawks are in a situation they seem to thrive in: road underdog. Since 's rookie year in 2012, the Seahawks are 9-3-1 ATS as a road underdog, which is the best mark over the span. Despite their atrocious road record in 2016 -- 3-4-1 straight up and 3-5 ATS -- the Seahawks still did well as a road underdog, going 1-0-1 straight up and 2-0 ATS (they were a road underdog against the Cardinals and Patriots). One final thing to keep in mind here: has never covered the spread in any playoff game ever. Since his rookie year in Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot Jersey 2008, the Falcons have played in five playoff games and they're 0-5 ATS. However, they did win one game straight up, and that game came against, yup, the Seahawks. In January 2013, the Falcons won a wild divisional-round thriller 30-28 in a game where Atlanta was favored by three. Last time we got Seahawks-Falcons in playoffs, things got crazy. SEA came back from 27-7 to lead 28-27, then lost John Breech (@johnbreech) As for the Seahawks, Ru sell Wilson is 8-3 straight up and 6-5 ATS in his playoff career. (9-7) at Patriots (14-2) 8:15 p.m. ET (CBS) Opening line: Patriots, -15.5 pointsCurrent line: Patriots, -16 points If you're wondering why the the Patriots are such big favorites in this game, here's a good reason: In October the Texans had everything in their favor before facing New England, and they still lost 27-0. In that game, the Patriots had to start their third-string quarterback ( ) because was still suspended and his backup, , was hurt. The Texans also still had in their lineup, which led many to believe it would be a close game, but it wasn't. A big reason the Patriots won is because Brock Osweiler looked lost (24 of 41, 196 yards, one interception) and now he'll have to face the Patriots again Saturday. Including that win over Houston, the Patriots went an NFL-best 13-3 ATS this season, while the Texans finished just 6-9-1. That record for Houston includes a 2-6 mark ATS on the road. As for the Patriots, they're 10-2 straight up in the divisional round during the Brady-Belichick era. Of Nicolas Claxton Jersey course, the Patriots are no lock when it comes to covering. Since 2011, they're just 6-6 ATS in playoff games. The last -- and only -- time these two teams played in the postseason came after the 2012 season when the Patriots covered a 9.5-point spread with a 41-28 win. Sunday, Jan. 15 (11-5) at (12-4) 1:05 p.m. ET (NBC) Opening line: Steelers, -1.5 pointsCurrent line: Chiefs, -1 point The biggest line movement during the early hours of divisional round betting came in this game, and that just might have something to do with the health of . After the Steelers' victory over Miami on Sunday, Roethlisberger showed up on his leg. QB Ben Roethlisberger didn't leave the win over unscathed. He left Heinz Field with a boot on his right leg. James Walker (@JamesWalkerNFL) Roethlisberger wouldn't specify what exactly was wrong with his right leg, but something was clearly ami s. Before betting on the Steelers, you might want to make sure Big Ben will be 100 percent for this game. Although he was clearly hurt, Roethlisberger did guarantee that he would be on the field for the Chiefs
      April 10, 2023 4:10 AM MDT
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